Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluca Femminis Author-X-Name-First: Gianluca Author-X-Name-Last: Femminis Author-Email: gianluca.femminis@unicatt.it Author-Workplace-Name: DISCE, Università Cattolica Author-Name: Gianmaria Martini Author-X-Name-First: Gianmaria Author-X-Name-Last: Martini Author-Email: gianmaria.martini@unibg.it Author-Workplace-Name: Università di Bergamo Title: Spillovers, disclosure lags, and incentives to innovate. Do oligopolies over-invest in R&D? Abstract: We develop a dynamic duopoly, where firms have to take into account a technological externality, that reduces over time their innovation costs, and an inter-firm spillover, that lowers only the second comer's R&D cost. This spillover exerts its effect after a disclosure lag. We identify three possible equilibria, which are classified, according to the timing of R&D investments, as early, intermediate, and late. The intermediate equilibrium is subgame perfect for a wide parameters range. When the innovation size is large, it implies that the duopolistic market equilibrium involves underinvestment. Hence, even in presence of a moderate degree of inter-firms spillover, the competitive equilibrium calls for public policies aimed at increasing the research activity. When we focus on minor innovations -- the case in which, according to the earlier literature, the market equilibrium underinvests -- our results imply that the policies aimed at stimulating R&D have to be less sizeable than suggested before, despite the presence of an inter-firm spillover. Length: nn pages 39 Creation-Date: 2007-06 Publication-Status: none File-URL: http://www.unicatt.it/Istituti/TeoriaEconomica/Quaderni/Quaderno_44.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: First version, 2007 Number: itemq0744 Classification-JEL: L13, L41, O33 Keywords: knowledge spillover, dynamic oligopoly Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie6:itemq0744