Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Author-Name: Sara Balestri
Author-X-Name-First: Sara
Author-X-Name-Last: Balestri
Author-Email: sara.balestri@unicatt.it
Author-Workplace-Name: Dipartimento di Economia Internazionale, delle Istituzioni e dello Sviluppo, DISCE, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milano, Italy
Author-Name: Raul Caruso
Author-X-Name-First: Raul
Author-X-Name-Last: Caruso
Author-Email: raul.caruso@unicatt.it 
Author-Workplace-Name: Dipartimento di Politica Economica, DISCE, & Centro Studi Economia Applicata (CSEA), Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milano, Italy - Catholic University ‘Our Lady of Good Counsel’, Tirana, European Center of Peace Science, Integration and Cooperation (CESPIC)
Title: Vulnerability to Climate Change and Communal Conflicts: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa and South/South-East Asia
Abstract: This paper examines the influence of climate change vulnerability on the likelihood and severity of communal violence, with a particular emphasis on delineating large-scale regional patterns. Specifically, the analysis centres on Sub-Saharan Africa and South/South-East Asia - both regions being predominantly characterized by rain-fed agriculture and climate-sensitive economic activities - spanning the years 1995 to 2021. Relying on the ND-GAIN Vulnerability Index as a multidimensional measure for propensity of societies to be negatively impacted by climate change, we found robust evidence that greater vulnerability is conducive to a higher likelihood and severity of communal violence in Sub-Saharan Africa. On the other hand, in South/South-East Asia, results suggest that current climate variability, measured as rainfall deviations within the period, exerts a greater effect on communal violence outbreak than overall vulnerability to climate change. In both regions, greater access to productive means is significantly associated to the reduction of communal violence.
Length: 35
Creation-Date: 2024-05
File-URL: http://dipartimenti.unicatt.it/politica-economica-DIPE0036.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: First version, 2024
Number: dipe0036
Classification-JEL: D74, O13, Q54, Q56
Keywords: communal violence, vulnerability, climate change, conflicts, Africa, Asia
Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie5:dipe0036