Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Angelo Baglioni Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Baglioni Author-Email: angelo.baglioni@unicatt.it Author-Workplace-Name: DISCE, Università Cattolica Title: Entry into a network industry: consumers’ expectations and firms’ pricing policies Abstract: This paper presents a model of entry into a network industry. The entrant tries to attract the customer base of the incumbent service provider. While the entrant is more efficient, the incumbent enjoys an advantage thanks to a bias in consumers’ expectations. Buyers enter the game with heterogenous beliefs as to which of the two firms is going to win competition. Then expectations converge - through higher order beliefs - and select one winner, who ends up being the single supplier. The path of expectations convergence crucially depends on the pricing policy followed by firms: so equilibrium beliefs are endogenous. Depending on parameter values, one of two outcomes obtains: (i) the incumbent is able to exclude the entrant, by lowering his price below the monopoly level; (ii) the entrant is successful, by undercutting the incumbent price. Productive efficiency and consumers’ welfare are hurt by exclusion; the entry threat is beneficial to consumers anyway. Imposing compatibility among networks is welfare improving, as it removes the exclusionary potential enjoyed by the incumbent. Length: 19 Creation-Date: 2006-11 File-URL: http://www.unicatt.it/Istituti/EconomiaFinanza/Quaderni/ief0069.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: First version, 2006 Number: ief69 Classification-JEL: D42 D84 L12 L41 Keywords: network industries, critical mass, entry, exclusion, higher order beliefs Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie3:ief0069