Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0

Author-Name: Osea Giuntella
Author-X-Name-First: Osea
Author-X-Name-Last: Giuntella


Author-Name: Lorenzo Rotunno
Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo
Author-X-Name-Last: Rotunno


Author-Name: Luca Stella
Author-X-Name-First: Luca 
Author-X-Name-Last: Stella
Author-Email: luca.stella@unicatt.it
Author-Workplace-Name: Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Author-Workplace-Name: Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore




Title: Trade Shocks, Fertility, and Marital Behavior.


Abstract: Using longitudinal data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we analyze the effects
of exposure to trade on the fertility and marital behavior of German workers. We find that
individuals working in sectors that were more affected by import competition from Eastern
Europe and suffered worse labor market outcomes were less likely to have children. In
contrast, workers in sectors that benefited from increased exports had better employment
prospects and higher fertility. These effects are driven by low-educated and married men,
and reflect changes in the likelihood of having any child (extensive margin). While among
workers exposed to import competition there is evidence of some fertility postponement, we
find a significant reduction of completed fertility. There is instead little evidence of any significant
effect on marital behavior. 
Length: 61
Creation-Date: 2021-03
File-URL: http://dipartimenti.unicatt.it/economia-finanza-def100.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
File-Function: First version, 2021
Number: def100
Classification-JEL: F14, F16, J13. 
Keywords: International Trade, Labor Market Outcomes, Fertility, Marriage.
Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie1:def100