Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Bordignon Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Bordignon Author-Email: massimo.bordignon@unicatt.it Author-Workplace-Name: Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Author-Workplace-Name: Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Author-Name: Di Xiang Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Xiang Author-Name: Lue Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Lue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Title: Predicting the Effects of a Sugar Sweetened Beverage Tax in a Household Production Model. Abstract: We study the impact of a hypothetical tax on sugar - sweetened beverages (SSBs) on the US households’ nutrients purchase, welfare change, and health benefit. Differently from the traditional approach, Food at Home(FAH) is here defined as a “home” good instead than a market good and consumers’ demands derived under the assumption that households maximize utility subject to both a money and a time constraint. The model is estimated by using an incomplete approximate Exact Affine Stone Index (EASI) demand system on a data set built by merging the most recent waves of the US consumer expenditure and time use surveys. Results show that a SSB tax would be much more effective in decreasing household nutrients purchase than it would appear by estimating a model neglecting time costs in home food production. A tax induced increased in SSB price by 20% is predicted to decrease the per capita energy purchase by 29.17 kcal/day. The annual health benefits of the tax, measured only in terms of reduced medical expenditure, would overcome estimated welfare losses by more than $400 million. Length: 69 Creation-Date: 2018-09 File-URL: http://dipartimenti.unicatt.it/economia-finanza-def075.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: First version, 2018 Number: def075 Classification-JEL: D12 D13 I18. Keywords: Sugar-sweetened beverage tax, Obesity, Household Production. Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie1:def075