Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Diogo Britto Author-X-Name-First: Diogo Author-X-Name-Last: Britto Author-Email: diogo.britto@unicatt.it Author-Workplace-Name: Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Author-Workplace-Name: Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Title: Unemployment Insurance and the Duration of Employment: Theory and Evidence from a Regression Kink Design. Abstract: Can unemployment insurance (UI) affect the behavior of employed workers and the duration of their employment spells? I apply a regression kink design to address this question using data from the Brazilian labor market. Exploiting the UI schedule, I find that a 1% higher potential benefit level increases job duration by around 0.35%. This result is driven by the fact that a higher potential benefit level reduces the probability of job quits, which are not covered by UI. I develop a simple model showing that the positive effect on employment duration implies that the optimal benefit is higher than otherwise and delivers a simple welfare formula based on sufficient statistics. A simple calibration exercise shows that this elasticity affects welfare with a similar magnitude as the well-known elasticity of unemployment duration to the benefit level. Length: 87 Creation-Date: 2016-09 File-URL: http://dipartimenti.unicatt.it/economia-finanza-def048.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf File-Function: First version, 2016 Number: def048 Classification-JEL: I38, J65. Keywords: Unemployment Insurance, Employment Duration, Regression Kink Design, Sufficient Statistics Welfare Analysis. Handle: RePEc:ctc:serie1:def048